A new report is delivering stunning news to Democrats across America: Their party is in a “doom loop” as states controlled by their party are losing families and children and eventually Electoral College votes.
“This will mean Republican states will be home to more congressional districts and be able to draw those districts. It also means Republican presidential candidates will not have to compete in as many battleground states to win 270 or more in the electoral college. Rather, they will have to hold onto traditionally red states and pick up a battleground state or two,” explained Matt Carpenter, of FRC Action.
“These findings ought to serve as a wake-up call for the anti-natalist Left in blue states,” he said in an interview with the Washington Stand. “The longer blue states persist in this doom loop, the steeper their decline in electoral power will be. Every family relocating from a blue state to a red state brings with them not just much-needed revenue, but their children; future voters who will shape reapportionment and tilt the electoral college toward red states. In other words, this is a zero-sum game. All the additional voters and wealth red states attract is necessarily deducted from blue states. In fact, some of the projections I’ve seen for the post-2030 census electoral college show traditionally red states picking up 10 to 11 votes in the Electoral College.”
The evidence already is starting to pile up as California, New York, Illinois Washington and Oregon, all leftist states, lost more families than other states in 2021-2022.
“Overall, census data released earlier this month found that the five fastest-growing states are all run by Republicans (South Carolina, Idaho, North Carolina, Texas, and Utah), while four out of the five states that lost population were Democratic strongholds (Vermont, Hawaii, West Virginia, New Mexico, and California).
The Washington Stand cited details from an analysis by the Institute for Family Studies.
Patrick T. Brown, of the Ethics and Public Policy Center, told the Stand blue states are seeing a significant uptick in young people and families leaving and moving to red states, particularly in the aftermath of the COVID pandemic.
And while overall fertility in the U.S. is declining, “the states that voted for President Donald Trump in 2024 saw an increase from 43.1 million kids under 18 in 2019 to 43.7 million in 2024. But in states that voted for Kamala Harris, the total number of children under five dropped from 8.2 million to 7.6 million over the same time period,” the report said.
Brown suggested that housing costs play a significant role in the migration, as states with higher costs “lost married couples with young kids…”
He said another factor is job growth because blue states are losing families to “Sun Belt states and commuter towns.”
The results, Carpenter told the Stand, “ought to serve as a wake-up call for the anti-natalist Left in blue states. American families do not have to suffer the bloated state budgets, sky-high tax burdens, and radical anti-family policies of blue states. They can move to a red state with smaller government, more freedom, more affordable housing, and probably some better policies on school choice. Indeed, that’s precisely what’s happening, and the political consequences will be huge.”
